Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.880763 1.009133 1.148813 1.311971 1.497215 1.700889 1.941702
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.738779 0.924447 1.143737 1.421342 1.762910 2.168943 2.687761
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.603170 0.819206 1.094486 1.469747 1.966672 2.600742 3.469737
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.508841 0.745948 1.070133 1.543323 2.213619 3.125964 4.458376
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.416573 0.656429 1.006881 1.552253 2.374867 3.563555 5.404310
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.353287 0.595524 0.971983 1.593604 2.587007 4.103277 6.580127
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.289772 0.520966 0.902011 1.567580 2.690803 4.495634 7.594811
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.256161 0.488681 0.893139 1.636830 2.955663 5.175716 9.163506
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.230976 0.465871 0.895603 1.724516 3.263683 5.968473 11.032803
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.201247 0.428434 0.864839 1.746350 3.457032 6.589310 12.690482
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.174482 0.391253 0.827579 1.748623 3.612667 7.161292 14.336522
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.152635 0.359702 0.795505 1.754801 3.775039 7.765036 16.121459
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.134196 0.332277 0.768025 1.767760 3.957294 8.440585 18.159069
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.120843 0.313718 0.756321 1.812613 4.213601 9.300502 20.691329
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.105812 0.287979 0.723949 1.805892 4.357188 9.947330 22.870885
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.095903 0.272927 0.713695 1.848479 4.618030 10.879879 25.793071
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.083887 0.249737 0.679488 1.827491 4.727476 11.492920 28.089586
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.075819 0.235559 0.665354 1.854049 4.955441 12.406012 31.195604
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.065764 0.213443 0.626356 1.809464 4.999229 12.892940 33.363765
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.061421 0.207343 0.629668 1.878681 5.346237 14.157260 37.581128
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.058256 0.204204 0.640762 1.971434 5.770006 15.667131 42.603724
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.053012 0.193205 0.627060 1.991229 5.998365 16.710438 46.573730
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.047772 0.181001 0.607475 1.990382 6.169023 17.626073 50.330450